11/12/2024 - politics-and-society

"Will we see changes in the Venezuelan regime with 'Trump 47'?"

By Poder & Dinero

"Will we see changes in the Venezuelan regime with 'Trump 47'?"

Jesús Daniel Romero and William Acosta for Poder & Dinero and FinGuru


In recent years, Latin America has become a forgotten continent, and this neglect has been linked to a lack of leadership and effective policies to counter the growing influence of Russia, China, and Iran in the region. This situation has created regional problems that directly threaten the national security of the United States. Unlike in 2016, President Trump will enter with a more robust experience and team, and much more experience than before.  

 

According to various public information sources, the possible candidacy of Republican Senator from Florida, Marco Rubio, for Secretary of State (SECSTA) in Donald Trump's second administration has been announced. Senator Rubio is the son of a Cuban immigrant who fled Fidel Castro's communism in search of a better life for his children and family. Rubio is a fervent anti-communist who recently mentioned the possibility of using American military options against Nicolás Maduro's Venezuelan regime by President Trump.

 

Among others who support regime change in Venezuela are María Elvira Salazar, Republican representative for Florida's 27th district, and Elon Musk, who has expressed his interest in helping to address the crisis in the country.

 

The Trump administration 47.0 could adopt a multifaceted approach that combines more effective sanctions against Maduro's regime, directing its efforts toward high-ranking officials, family members, frontmen, shell companies, and bank accounts and investments related to the regime. By establishing a broader blacklist that includes these elements, pressure on the regime could be increased, incentivizing some officials to defect and contribute to the destabilization of the government. The math does not lie: a systematic approach targeting these connections can significantly weaken Maduro's power base.

 

Logistical and financial support for political parties and civil society organizations that back Edmundo González Urrutia is crucial. This would include funding for campaigns, training in mobilization and communication strategies, and technical assistance to strengthen democratic institutions. Moreover, facilitating the visibility of the opposition on international platforms could amplify their voice on the global stage.

 

International diplomacy must play a crucial role in this process. Trump could lead a coalition of nations committed to restoring democracy in Venezuela, collaborating with countries in the region and traditional allies in Europe to create a united front that diplomatically isolates Maduro's regime. Through summits and international forums, the recognition of González Urrutia as the legitimate president of Venezuela could be promoted.

 

Furthermore, the Trump administration could act as a mediator in negotiations between Maduro's regime and the opposition, establishing a neutral platform for discussing the political transition. Clear conditions to force Maduro to leave the country would be essential to ensure an effective change in leadership.

 

The humanitarian crisis in Venezuela demands a significant response. Increasing humanitarian aid aimed at the population, facilitating access to food, medicines, and healthcare through international organizations, could alleviate the suffering of Venezuelans and weaken the regime's narrative, which blames the crisis on sanctions.

 

Support for civil society and the defense of human rights are also crucial. Investing in organizations working in this area can strengthen civic participation and ensure that the voices of the population are heard in the transition process. Encouraging the use of technology for organizing the opposition would allow leaders to coordinate actions safely and effectively, without fear of retaliation.

 

The political landscape in Venezuela has taken on a new dimension with the possible appointment of Marco Rubio as Secretary of State in Donald Trump's administration. This change could signal a renewed and more aggressive approach to the Venezuelan crisis, given Rubio's historic position as a defender of human rights and opponent of Nicolás Maduro's regime. His appointment could indicate a greater commitment from the United States to address the situation in Venezuela, considering the interconnectedness between democracy in that country and Cuban influence in the region.

 

From an analytical perspective, it is crucial to assess the implications of this appointment. Rubio has advocated for stricter sanctions and a robust approach to the Venezuelan opposition. This could translate into strengthening economic and diplomatic pressure policies against Maduro's regime, as well as increasing support for opposition groups. The possibility of regime change in Venezuela may be viewed not only as a political goal but also as a national security strategy for the United States, given that Venezuela's stability is closely linked to Cuban dynamics and their impact on the region.

 

The mention of a military intervention, in this sense, must be treated with caution and legal rigor. International law poses significant challenges regarding the legitimacy of any military action in a sovereign country. Military intervention could be seen as a violation of international law unless supported by a resolution from the United Nations Security Council or justified under the concept of Responsibility to Protect (R2P). While the idea of training loyal Venezuelan forces could be seen as a viable alternative, this approach also carries legal and ethical considerations. It is essential that any action aligns with international principles and U.S. legislation to avoid negative repercussions.

 

It is important to recognize that the struggle for democracy and freedom in Venezuela is deeply intertwined with the situation in Cuba. The Cuban regime has been a strategic ally of Maduro, providing political and military support. Therefore, any strategy seeking to restore democracy in Venezuela must consider how to dismantle this relationship. A coordinated policy addressing both the crisis in Venezuela and Cuban influence in the region could be more effective and sustainable in the long term.

 

In conclusion, the Trump administration has the capability to implement a comprehensive and proactive approach to facilitate Nicolás Maduro's exit and allow Edmundo González Urrutia to assume his role as the legitimate president. Through a combination of economic pressure, support for the opposition, international diplomacy, and humanitarian assistance, a favorable environment for the necessary change in Venezuela can be created, while restoring U.S. leadership in Latin America. Furthermore, it is crucial that any actions taken respect international law and ethical standards, ensuring that efforts for regime change are not perceived as a coup, but as a legitimate process toward restoring democracy.

 

Credits: This information has been gathered from various media outlets and expert analyses, including articles from BBC News, CNN, NBC, Diálogo Interamericano, and other relevant reports on the situation in Venezuela.

Jesús Daniel Romero inherited his father's military vocation, who was a pilot in the Venezuelan Air Force, and since 1984, when he joined the U.S. Navy, he has risen through various positions to reach the rank of commander.

He enlisted in the Navy in 1984 and was designated a Naval Intelligence Officer. He was also a specialist in intelligence operations in the army's civil service. He was a deckhand on a nuclear missile cruiser. He then had the opportunity to be a navigator and, after 8 years, became an officer.

He spent five years on that cruiser: “We chased Soviet fleets, operated in the waters off Cuba, in the Arctic, in the Mediterranean, in the Atlantic, in the Black Sea.”

Romero became an officer through the Navy's Enlisted Program, graduated with honors from Norfolk State University, and received a degree in Political Science. Thanks to his good academic performance, he was able to choose the path of intelligence. He studied aviation and then entered the intelligence school. He was assigned to an A-6 Intruder squadron, a tactical bomber operating from an aircraft carrier USS America, aboard which he went to Bosnia, Iraq, and Sudan.

William Acosta is the founder and CEO of Equalizer Private Investigations & Security Services Inc. He has coordinated investigations related to international drug trafficking, money laundering, and homicides in the U.S. and other countries worldwide, such as Germany, Italy, Portugal, Spain, France, England, and literally throughout Latin America.

William has been a New York Police Investigator for 10 years, 2 years in the Department of the Treasury, and 6 years in the American Army with various international deployments on communication and intelligence issues.

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Poder & Dinero

Poder & Dinero

We are a group of professionals from various fields, passionate about learning and understanding what happens in the world, and its consequences, in order to transmit knowledge.
Sergio Berensztein, Fabián Calle, Santiago Montoya, Pedro von Eyken, José Daniel Salinardi, Leo Moumdjian, along with a distinguished group of journalists and analysts from Latin America, the United States, and Europe.

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